Masataka Yoshida
Real Estate Appraiser
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Chapter 1 Introduction l. The Japanese People and Nature The beauty of nature has been the object of people's admiration. However, nature sometimes brings disasters to people's life. The Japanese people aretraditionally good observers of nature. We make up short poems and haiku from ourimpressions of nature. Our close observation on natural phenomena, animals and plants also led us to create proverbs. The Japanese people have worshiped nature withappreciation and awe, since they believed that sacred spirits live in all the naturalcreatures. This belief developed Japanese sophisticated views and united feeling tonature. It is also conditioned by natural surroundings and geological features of Japan. Japan belongs to the temperate and high rainfall zone, which brings distinctive seasonal changes to the land. These seasonal changes enable us to see various features of nature; fresh green foliage and pretty blossoms in spring, paddy rice fields in summer, colored leaves in fall, and snow covered scenes in winter. In its course of activities, nature brings us disasters with typhoons, floods, and heavy snowfalls including volcanic eruptions and earthquakes. Japan has a long history of volcanic eruptions and earthquakes, and these natural phenomena resulted in forming the present Japanese terrain and strata. It may be safely said that volcanic eruptions and earthquakes built up the whole land of Japan. Nature brings us both benefits and damages. Its destructive power has also affected the people's view towards nature. Here, I would like to give my study on the relationship between nature and the Japanese people, focusing on volcanic eruptions in Japan. 2. The Relationship between Japan and its Volcanoes There are nearly 800 active volcanoes in the world at the present time, and Japan harbors 10 percent of them. Volcanic areas in Japan make up 10 percent of our land. Japan is often called a volcanic country. Why does Japan have so many volcanoes? According to the plate tectonic theory, there are ten or more tectonics plates making up the earth's surface, and each plate is shifting some centimeters a year. The theory explains that collisions of these shifting plates on boundaries or subduction zones trigger volcanic activities and earthquakes. Japanese archipelago sits in where four plates such as Eurasian Plate, Philippine Sea Plate, Pacific Plate, and North American Plate meet each other. This means that we have more volcanic eruptions and earthquakes. Volcanoes in Japan are distributed into the west Japan volcanic belt and the east Japan volcanic belt. The west one runs from Kyushu to Chugoku district, and the east one runs from Tohoku to Hokkaido district. (Figure 1)
Figure 1 The distribution of volcanoes in Japan Records tell that our symbolic Mt. Fuji had
several volcanic eruptions scattering ash over large areas as well as
Mt. Asama and Mt. Usu. Japan has experienced quite a few volcanic eruptions.
It can be said that our land is based on the accumulated volcanic ash.
This fact shows how closely volcanoes are related to people's life in
Japan in the past and in the future. Chapter 2 The Eruption of Unzen Fugen |
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| 1. The Location of Fugen Fugen is located in Nagasaki Prefecture, Kyushu in the westernmost Japan.(Figure 2) It sits 40 kilometers ( 25 miles )east of Nagasaki City, one of the atomic bombed cities in Japan, and eight kilometers ( 5 miles )southwest of the heart of Shimabara City. Shimabara is the damaged center by a series of volcanic activities and eruptions by Fugen.(Figure 3) Nagasaki Prefecture consists of a peninsula and some isolated islands. It has the longest shoreline among Japanese prefectures. Shimabara harbors a group of volcanoes in its centra Figure 2 Japan and the location of Fugen l area. This group is called Unzen volcanoes, most of them averaging 1,000 meters ( 3,300 feet ) high. Fugen, 1,359 meters ( 4,459 feet )high, is the highest peak among them. In
southern part of Shimabara City, the worst damaged area
is Fukae Town. The main industries of Shimabara City are
tourism, agriculture, and dairy farming. The city
occupies 58.75 square kilometers ( 22.68 square miles )
of the eastern part of the Shimabara Peninsula, with
population of nearly 41,000. Fukae Town occupies the
southside part of the ShimabaraCity, with population of
8,000 and 23.58 and Fugen square kilometers ( 9.1 square
miles )in area. |
![]() Figure 2 Japan and the location of Fugen |
![]() Figure 3 The location of Nagasaki Prefecture |
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2. The History of Fugen's Eruptions Records show that Fugen had the history of
about 4 eruptions since 1657. These include the two explosive eruptions
which caused heavy damages to the area. One of them is called the Kansei
unusual happening of the year 1792. Another is the last one in 1991. The
Kansei eruption came after frequent tremors which started in the previous
November. The eruption on May 21, 1792 collapsed Mayuyama. Rocks and debris
rushed into Ariake Sea causing tsunamis(tidal waves) along the coastal
areas of both Shimabara and Kumamoto. The disaster killed 15,000 people
and destroyed 3,300 homes. Death rate doubled in Shimabara area. This
eruption affected Kumamoto area, about 20 kilometers ( 12.5 miles ) away
from Shimabara across Ariake Sea. The event was called gShimabara taihen
Higo meiwaku". ( Higo was an old name for Kumamoto ). This mesns
that the event happened in Shimabara and it involved Kumamoto. The upheaval
has also been remembered to be among the greatest in human loss in the
history of Japanese volcanic disasters. 3. The 1991 Eruption of Fugen and its Damage Fugen started its eruption again on November
17, 1990, after the 1792 explosive eruption. It reawakened after 198 years
of sleep. In 1991 activities intensified and in May a lava dome of 50
meter ( 160 feet ) across was formed in its crater. This lava dome grew
and multiplied. Now 13 lava domes are recognized. The domes in whole measure
1,250 meters ( 4,100 feet ) east-west, and 600meters ( 2,000 feet ) north-south.
It measures 0.6 square kilometers ( 6.5 million square feet ) in area,
333 meters ( 1,093 feet ) long, and 100 million cubic meters ( 130 million
cubic yards ) in volume. |
| * Dead | 44(including missing) |
| * Injured | 10 |
| * Damaged buildings | 2593(including 1,270 residential) |
| * Agricultural, and fishery facilities | 17.4 billion yen |
| * Public structures | 29.5 billion yen |
| * Agricultural and dairy productsdairy products | 20.0 billion yen |
| * Commercial and service facilities | 133.7 billion yen |
| * Others | 4.1 billion yen |
| Total | 204.7 billion yen |
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Most of the damaged buildings are residential including 10 percent
of Fukaecho's households. |

Figure 4 Damaged area by the pyroclasteric flow on June 3, 1991
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Chapter 3 The Restoration from the Disaster 1. The Characteristics of the Fugen Eruption The area has suffered from the disasters for more than
five years. Five years duration is a really long time for people to endure
a natural disaster. Those caused by earthquakes, typhoons or others are
generally transitory happenings. This was the first time in our history
that warning restriction was put in effect in such a densely populated
area. People who lived in the area had no choice but to evacuate. All
the activities were forced to halt without any guarantee for legal compensations.
In the case of Hanshin Earthquake which struck urban areas of big cities,
more private and nongovernmental investment for restoration can be expected.
2. Towards Restoration It is five years since Unzen Fugen reawakened from its 198 years sleep. Though its volcanic eruption activities subsided, restoration works have just made a start. The basic policy for restoration should be not just a plan for recovering pre-eruption state but also include projects to provide a new comfortable living space for those who lost everything. Therefore, overall measures to promote every field should be planned including disaster protection, building new towns, and activating industries. Still, many problems remain ahead. Main restoration plans are as follows. (1) Disaster Protection Building barriers to prevent landslides should be the first thing to start with. Though the volcanic activities diminished, 170 million cubic meter ( 220 million cubic yards ) of disposal from the eruption rests on the flank. There is a warning for possible mud flow damages for a long period of time in the future. To prepare for this, preventive structures ( 62 barriers to prevent landslides, 33 slit dams, 359 erosion control dams ) in three rivers ( Mizunashi, Nakao, Yue ) are under construction, including widening Mizunashi River. By the end of 1994, 10 barriers, 16 slit dams, and 27 erosion control dams were completed. In 1995 the super-erosion control dam along Yukou River was finished. In October 1995, along Mizunashi River the construction of a super-barrier began. In spite of these efforts of preparation, there are difficulties to proceed constructions because the project is situated in the restricted areas. Nevertheless people are working very hard to finish structures as soon as possible. (2) Reconstructing Transportation System Route 57 ( national highway ) was partly restored last year. The main local road which runs through the north of Shimabara Peninsula was restored completely 28 months after the disaster. Elevating railway tracks of Shimabara Railway ( a local railway ) has been planned and now under construction as a joint work of national and local governments. (3) Housing Restoration Fugen's eruption destroyed a large area of land. Now some
areas are reserved for the preventive structures or dams. Therefore, besides
building houses, a plan needs to be discussed in order to build totally
new towns. By this time 367 lots, which are on sale now, were prepared
in three subdivisions. Sale prices are set relatively reasonable to ease
the financial burden of buyers. To build subdivisions or developments,
public enterprises and The Fund for Unzen Disaster Restoration gave refugees
aid to make home loans. There is also a plan to reclaim a part of Ariake
Sea to build new towns. (4) Restoration Plan for Agriculture and Fishery Fukaecho was one of the agricultural centers in Nagasaki
Prefecture, producing 6.3 percent ( 10.6 billion yen=106 million US dollars
) of all the gross product of the whole prefecture in 1992. In 1993 after
its 307 hectare farmland was destroyed, its gross product rate dropped
to ( 7 billion yen=70 million US dollars ) 70 percent of that in 1992.
At the time of December 31, 1994, there are 244 out of 667 farmers back
in farming in the area. National and local governments are working on
recovery of damaged farmland and farming facilities. Special aids are
prepared for farmers who want to return to farming in the area. (5) Restoration Plan for Commercial Business and Tourism Naturally business transactions in Shimabara City became very inactive in 1994. The number of shops staying in business dropped by 21.6 percent from that of 1988. Sales were 4.3 percent less than in 1988. Thus stagnant economy reduced the shop numbers and total sales in 1991.(Chart 1,2) In the downtown area, closing out of business are increasing in number, leaving a large vacant space for business. Tourists are still in low numbers compared with the average before the eruption. To increase sales, various financial aids are given to local businessmen, such as interest payment, expenses for attractions, investment for redecorating shopping malls. It may take some time to make business come back. |
| area | | 1988N | 1991N | 1994N |
| Shimabara City | numbers of stores | 1,078 | | 845 |
| numbers of workers | 4,929 | | 4,050 | |
| annual sales (million yen) | 96,290 | | 92,159 | |
| Fukae Town | numbers of stores | 147 | | 123 |
| numbers of workers | 476 | | 415 | |
| annual sales (million yen) | 8,189 | | 12,266 |
Chart 1 Changes in numbers of business, workers and annual sales amount
| the year of survey | total number of tourists | index | day visitors | overnight visitors |
| 1989N | 907,937 | 100 | 369,919 | 543,018 |
| 1990N | 838,277 | 92.3 | 290,915 | 547,362 |
| 1991N | 530,546 | 58.4 | 151,276 | 379,270 |
| 1992N | 495,087 | 54.5 | 157,327 | 337,760 |
| 1993N | 542,340 | 59.7 | 193,040 | 349,300 |
| 1994N | 629,126 | 69.3 | 239,563 | 389,563 |
Chart2 Changes in numbers of tourists(Shimabara City)
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3. Changes in Property Value in Fukaecho The impact by the disaster on property value in the damaged
areas is shown in the chart 3 on the attached sheet. |
| the year | 1990N | 1991N | 1992N | |||||
| area | discription | |||||||
| publication of Land Price | Shimabara City | residential | 0.3% | @ | 0.5% | @ | ’3.9% | @ |
| commercial | 0.4% | @ | 1.3% | @ | ’5.0% | @ | ||
| Prefecture average | residential | 2.0% | @ | 5.2% | @ | 5.7% | @ | |
| commercial | 7.5% | @ | 17.1% | @ | 2.6% | @ | ||
| Prefectural Land Price Survey | Shimabara City | residential | 2.2% | @ | @ | @ | @ | @ |
| commercial | @ | 4.0% | @ | @ | @ | @ | ||
| seme industrial | @ | 6.0% | @ | @ | @ | @ | ||
| Fukae Town | residential | @ | 2.9% | @ | @ | @ | @ | |
| commercial | @ | 6.5% | @ | @ | @ | @ | ||
| Prefecture average | residential | @ | 2.6% | @ | 2.9% | @ | 2.4% | |
| commercial | @ | 6.7% | @ | 5.5% | @ | 1.4% | ||
| the year | 1993N | 1994N | 1995N | |||||
| area | discription | |||||||
| publication of Land Price | Shimabara City | residential | ’5.8% | @ | ’4.2% | @ | 0. 0% | @ |
| commercial | ’8.8% | @ | ’4.3% | @ | 0. 5% | @ | ||
| Prefecture average | residential | 2.1% | @ | 2.1% | @ | 1.8% | @ | |
| commercial | @ | @ | ’3.6% | @ | 3.1% | @ | ||
| Prefectural Land Price Survey | Shimabara City | residential | @ | ’4.5% | @ | 0.0% | @ | 0.7% |
| commercial | @ | 0.0% | @ | 0.0% | @ | 0.0% | ||
| seme industrial | @ | ’0.7% | @ | 0.0% | @ | 0.0% | ||
| Fukae Town | residential | @ | ’2.5% | @ | 0.8% | @ | 0.0% | |
| commercial | @ | ’1.6% | @ | 0.0% | @ | 0.0% | ||
| Prefecture average | residential | @ | 1.1% | @ | 1.5% | @ | 0.0% | |
| commercial | @ | ’1.1% | @ | ’1.3% | ’1.7% | @ | ||
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Chart 3 Trend of annual change of rate in Publivcation of Price and Prefectual Land and Price Survey 4. Property Value of Damaged Areas The properties of damaged areas are apparently not in their highest value use. Therefore, to calculate their value, such factors as recovery expenses, investment capital to regain its highest value use, possible loss by future disaster and others, should be taken into consideration. Value will be based on pre-disaster value considering risk rate and recovery expenses.
The compensation theory proposes that alternative property value of similar use in a neighboring area be post-damaged value. There are some factors to be considered. When a business stays in operation before and after the disaster, there must be a criteria for value already set up. Some areas may recover pre-damaged value as restoration works proceed. In this case an alternative property is likely to be less available at reasonable price. From 1988 to 1991 there were only seven transactions on residential property. After the disaster, there were no transactions made. There is a history that neighboring area was sold for public use and its purchase price was published. This pushed up alternative property price around the area higher than pre-damaged price, leading most of the transactions for alternatives to failure. Chapter 4 Conclusion 1. The History of Living with Volcanoes in Japan Unzen Fugen's violent volcanic eruptions caused large damages to the Shimabara area by pyroclastic flows and mud flows. A large number of residents in Fukaecho were forced to leave their homes. They must have realized a high risk of living with volcanoes. The history of Shimabara Peninsula tells that after the big collapse of Mayuyam in 1792 Shimabra people worked very hard to rebuild their towns and farmland. Now another hard work for restoration is under way as the volcanic activities lessened. For a volcano which lives some thousand years, 200 years or several years intervals could be just a brief rest. However, if people are to stay and live in the volcanic area, they should be prepared for future possible disasters. Then, what makes people stay in this dangerous area? I would like to discuss this matter from natural and human factors. (1) Natural Factors (a)Japan is an island nation. Japan's mountainous terrains limit living spaces for people. To find a new empty space is not easy for those who lost their homes by disasters. They feel they have no choice except to return and stay in the same place. (b) Traditionally the Japanese have built cities in a space surrounded by mountains which were regarded as natural walls for defense.Shimabara City, built on a small plain between Ariake sea and Unzen mountains, has developed as a community surrounded by mountains. Because of the advantage for defense, people returned to live there after natural disasters repeatedly assaulted the area . (c)The Japanese people always cherish the feeling of unification with mother nature.Volcanic eruptions expelled a large disposal (lava and ash) in neighboring areas of volcanoes. Ashfall damages vegetations, but it also helps to create fertile soil for farming. A volcanic eruption often results in forming a good natural port. Erosions smooth mountain slopes. Craters and caldera lakes offer to make up picturesque sceneries. Actually two thirds of our national parks are located in volcanic areas. Most of the resort areas in Japan have some thing to do with volcanoes. (2) Human Factors (a)Shimabara area is well known to Japanese for its tragic historical events, Shimabara Revolt which was triggered by the Catholic suppression in 17 century. The revolt lasted one year, resulting in some thousands of deaths, leading Edo Shogunate to close the door to foreigners for the next 200 years. People converted into Catholicism were fishermen and their families who lived along the coastal regions of Nagasaki, Goto, Shimabara, and Amakusa. Those people were generous enough to accept different cultures,and they had strong will and independency. Their positive attitude towards life, which is still alive now, encouraged them to make new starts after deadly disasters. (b)The Japanese people are said to believe a sort of one-year reincarnation. They think that everything turns to void in the end of a year and makes rebirth all over again on new year's day. They believe reincarnation rather than eternal life.The Western idea of eternity could be symbolized by unmovable stones, while Japanese idea of rebirth could be expressed by wood. The Japanese are used to adopt their life style to their surroundings. (c) Generally the Japanese have strong persistence in property ownership. They value much of the long-term relationship built up in the place where they were born and brought up. This makes people cling to their own place as long as possible. Thus Japanese people have a very close relationship with volcanoes in
their life. 2. Closing Japanese people have overcome the hardships of loss and
damage by natural disasters and restore their lives. Every time a disaster
occurs, people call for risk management and better preventive measures.
In spite of all, no effective measures were taken so far. |
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